How Close is Close Enough? Accuracy and Precision: Part II - - Chromatography Online
How Close is Close Enough? Accuracy and Precision: Part II

LCGC North America




Modern gas chromatographs are expected to deliver the highest performance levels, but actual performance can suffer due to a number of causes including inappropriate methodology as well as improper instrument setup and poor maintenance. It is always important to keep accurate and complete records of periodic test or validation mixture analyses and any changes to instrument configuration, the methods used, and samples run to help diagnose problems when they occur. Sometimes a problem is obvious, but often something seems to be going wrong while there is no obvious failure. Retention times begin to drift, area counts start to decrease, or repeat results seem more scattered than before. Deciding if these subtle changes are significant is not a trivial task. If there is a significant problem, then additional steps can be taken to diagnose and resolve it. If the problem is insignificant, then considerable time might be saved.

Later on Monday


John V. Hinshaw
The first installment of this column series presented a situation in which an initial chromatogram from Monday morning gave retention times that seemed to fall outside the range of expected values based upon observations from the most recent runs obtained on Friday of the previous week. For one peak the average retention time in 10 chromatograms from Friday's data was 14.38 min and the standard deviation of those retention times was 0.011 min. The first run on Monday eluted this peak at 14.41 min; 2.7 standard deviations removed from Friday's average value. At issue was whether this difference between Friday and Monday was significant and required attention, or if this was an acceptable occurrence that could be ignored safely. If the change were significant, a chromatographer might decide that he or she should pay close attention to the instrument in question because its retention times had shifted significantly over the weekend. There are many possible fault conditions that could result in drifting retention times. Is there a septum leak? Is the pressure controller drifting? How stable is the gas chromatograph's oven temperature? Our analyst needs to distinguish a developing or full-blown problem that affects data integrity — in this case our ability to identify peaks on the basis of their retention times — from fluctuations that occur in the course of normal daily operations.


Table I: Retention times on Friday and the next Monday
A conclusion that there is a retention time shift is a weak one, however, for at least two reasons. First, deciding to pursue a potential retention time problem on the basis of a single sample — let alone the first sample on Monday morning — would be a difficult choice to justify. Second, Friday's 10 observations represent a small sampling of a much larger collection of acceptable experimental outcomes for this peak's retention time, which necessarily covers an observation period longer than a single day. Due to normal variations the average and standard deviation of one day's worth of observed retention times could be different than for a more populous set of retention data acquired over the course of a week or a month. Student's t-test, introduced in the first part of this discussion, helps a small data set better model the expected behavior of the larger set that it represents by compensating for the tendency of small sample collections to appear more spread out than the overall population being sampled. In our example, the standard deviation of Friday's 10 samples is assumed to exaggerate somewhat the distribution of the greater population at large. According to this metric, Monday's first retention time was more than 98% likely not to be a member of Friday's data set.


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