To investigate the abundant GC–IMS data of complex ink volatiles, researchers must further optimize the interpretable analysis of GC–IMS data for the rapid identification of ink volatile markers and summarizing temporal evolution stages. In this study, scientists used GC–IMS with ML algorithms to investigate the temporal evolution stages classification and aging time prediction of gel-pen ink. Ink-specific volatile markers were correlated with aging mechanisms with kinetic modeling and heatmap analysis. Three distinct temporal evolution stages were categorized: rapid evaporation, slow-release, and chemical stabilization through multivariate analysis of volatiles. Further, six tree-based ML algorithms were systematically evaluated. The Categorical Boosting (CatBoost) model achieving superior performance (accuracy = 100%) in classifying five detailed aging stages of gel-pen ink.
In this research, the scientists hoped to address three critical challenges: (i) establishing a GC-IMS-based protocol to decode the aging mechanisms of gel-pen ink through volatile organic compound fingerprinting, (ii) integrating unsupervised and supervised learning to classify temporal evolution stages and predict aging timelines, and (iii) unveiling chemically meaningful aging markers through interpretable machine learning approaches.
The decision tree regression model demonstrated high temporal prediction accuracy (test R²=0.954) through interpretable feature engineering. A stepwise strategy combining classification and regression models was proposed, allowing simultaneous ink characterization and age estimation.
This study provides a new approach for evaluating temporal patterns in gel-pink ink using GC–IMS data-driven interpretable models, establishing theoretical foundations for authenticating disputed documents in forensic applications. The scientists hope this methodology could provide a validated approach for classifying temporal evolution stages and predicting aging time, significantly improving the efficiency of forensic analysis in judicial investigations.
Reference
(1) Lu, W.; Chen, J.; Zhang, L.; Nie, Z. Temporal Evolution Stages Classification and Aging Time Prediction of Gel-Pen Ink Using GC-IMS Combined with Machine Learning for Forensic Science Applications. J. Chromatogr. A 2025, 1755, 466063. DOI: 10.1016/j.chroma.2025.466063